I was delighted, not to say surprised, by your change of heart on man-made climate change, after all your years of campaigning for green orthodoxy. You have announced that climate change (what little there is of it) is not necessarily anthropogenic. I have been saying that for years, and it is gratifying that the message seems to be getting through.
You say “Although I think the evidence that climate is changing is now overwhelming, the causes are not absolutely clear. There could be natural causes, natural phases, that are taking place”. I’m not sure that this is quite so clear and cogent as the line I have been using for years: “The small changes in mean global temperatures we have seen in the last 100 years are entirely consistent with well-understood, long-term, natural climate cycles”, but you have the right idea.
What we are seeing now is best interpreted as a slow, gentle recovery from the Little Ice Age in the 17th & 18th Centuries. We had the Minoan Optimum, the Roman Optimum, and the Mediæval Warm Period, and we now seem to be moving into a new 21st Century Optimum. And it’s called an “Optimum” for a reason, Tim. Human societies tend to prosper in warmer conditions.
But Tim, you can’t leave the story there, with your teasing hint of a change of heart. Where do we go from here? Can you carry your Climate Change Committee, and your Coalition government, with you? What will Ed Davey say? How do your rate the probabilities of man-made versus natural? How far should the government be discounting its renewables subsidies and emissions targets, given your new-found doubts about the underlying reasons for climate change and climate mitigation?
Will you now resign from the lucrative positions which you reportedly hold in “green” businesses, if their raison d’être is in doubt? Will you apologise to taxpayers and electricity users on behalf of yourself and your committee for the eye-watering amount of money which you will have wasted, if anthropogenic emissions of CO2 are not to blame? Are you just flashing some ankle? Or will you now call on the government to reverse its disastrous energy policies which are driving industries, jobs and investments off-shore, and forcing households and pensioners into fuel poverty?
I only ask because I want to know. Best regards. Roger Helmer MEP