Thoughts on Booker’s Sunday Column

image001

I yield to no one in my respect and admiration for Christopher Booker.  Almost single-handedly in the media, he has made the case for common sense on Europe, on climate, and on a range of other issues.  I guess he must feel that he’s ploughing a lonely furrow – but let me tell you, Christopher, most of us in UKIP (and many beyond) are with you.

Today (as I write, on January 10th) he takes the Met Office to task in the Sunday Telegraph for its extravagant claims.  These claims include “December was the wettest ever December on record”; and the “wettest ever calendar month”; July 1st (2015) had been “the hottest July day ever”.  Booker picks these claims apart and shows that they are just plain wrong.  Not only was December not the wettest month ever – it was only the 20th wettest December since 1766.

Clearly this Met Office bias arises because they want alarmist headlines to feed into their global warming narrative.  They also want to suggest that extreme weather is becoming more common as a result of Global Warming.  But as Booker points out, meticulous research by Paul Homewood of shows no such trend.  It’s pure propaganda.  Not a lot of consolation if you’ve just had your home flooded for the third time, but blame Environment Agency policies, not Global Warming.

However (and with great reluctance) I do have to take issue with Booker’s lead article this week What they’re all missing in the EU debate”. He points out that the powers that be in Brussels are seriously debating a major re-structuring of the EU, with a central group of member-states- essentially the eurozone – and an outlying group of “associate members” who will be, in effect, second class citizens, subject to damaging EU regulation but less able to influence events.  This would itself require a major new EU Treaty, triggering a new referendum in the UK, perhaps some years away.  Booker claims that no one in the “Out” camp is aware of this (except, as he gnomically suggests, “perhaps just one”).

The truth is, of course, that we are all perfectly well aware of it.  But it’s tough enough getting media attention for the issues we are facing this year and next, without trying to educate the public on things that may or may not happen next decade.  I think that “Out” campaigners are right to focus on the issues we face directly in Cameron’s referendum.  Few voters will want to spend the time studying “possible future scenarios” in the EU.

By the way Booker also criticises “Out” campaigners for failing to set out a vision of how Britain will prosper outside the EU – as though independence were a self-evident handicap, and we had a duty to explain how we would cope with it.  We shall prosper, quite simply, by being independent.  We shall prosper by being free of the EU’s Common External Tariff, and stultifying regulation.  We shall prosper by our new ability to make the trade deals we want, not the ones that Brussels allows us to have.  We shall prosper by freeing ourselves from the EU’s perverse energy policies (provided we have the sense and courage to do better ourselves).  We shall save not only £50+ million a day in budget contributions, but tens of billions in regulatory costs.  Faster growth, more jobs, more trade, lower energy prices and (in due course) lower taxes.  Plus the re-establishment of genuine democratic governance.  What’s not to like?

I have a much more sanguine view of the prospects for Brexit.  First of all, I am becoming increasingly confident that we shall vote OUT in 2016 or 2017, in Cameron’s referendum.  The tide is moving our way.  Amongst ordinary voters, it’s difficult to find people who are enthusiastic for “IN”.  Differential turnout will favour the OUT side.

If I’m right, and we vote “OUT”, then the internal machinations of the EU will cease to be of great interest.  Indeed they may be thrown off course entirely.  I believe that a number of other EU member-states will see how Britain is doing as an independent country, and will vote with their feet (so to speak).

But suppose I’m wrong, and the British people vote “IN” on 2016/17?  Then indeed we will be involved in the proposed new order in Europe.  But there will have to be a new Treaty.  So there will be a new referendum.  Even if we vote IN first time round, I cannot believe that British voters will back a permanent second-class status for our country in the EU.  Of course I’m hoping that Independence Day will come in 2017.  But if not, it will certainly come by the date of the new Treaty and the next referendum, a few years later.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

17 Responses to Thoughts on Booker’s Sunday Column

  1. Alan Wheatley says:

    Another excellent post.

    However (and with great reluctance) I do agree with Brooker’s criticism of the “Out” (surely we should all be saying “leave” as this is the word we want in the voter’s mind when they cast their referendum vote) campaigns’ failure to set out a vision of Britain outside the EU. Perhaps for those close to the issues such a vision comes so naturally that it is not appreciated that it is not universal.

    Part of the problem is that even Roger’s substantial exposition of what it will be like to be out is couched in negative terms: i.e. out will be better because we will get rid of the bad things of being in.

    But I think the vision of being out should be extolled in positive terms. More emphasis should be given to what we can and shall be doing as members of the World rather than of the EU. And I would like to think that as much emphasis as possible should be given to the Commonwealth as that is where many Brits and other Commonwealth citizens would like us to be.

  2. Jane Davies says:

    I have on a few occasions taken the CBC, Canada’s equivalent of the BBC, to task for their biased reporting on climate change. Not once have I heard any opinions from the other “side” about this issue and pointed out to them that warming has not occurred for nearly 19 years. Their response to my comments?…….a big fat zero!
    Our winter so far here on Vancouver Island has been colder than normal in spite of forecasts that El Nino has warmed the Pacific ocean and we would get a mild winter. Our winters here in this part of BC are usually like back home in Hampshire, more rain than snow but we have had two lots of snow since the week before Christmas and very cold night temps -10 and colder which for us is unusual.

  3. Richard111 says:

    We live in a weird world. Extreme weather events are on the INCREASE. Why? Because of global cooling. Just look up the science. The coming cold period for this winter might make people think.

    • Ex-expat Colin says:

      My CH pump stayed on all night, pumping with boiler not fired. I think that might be telling me something?

    • Roger Helmer MEP says:

      Sorry, Richard, but there is no evidence of an increasing trend in extreme weather. More hysteria, yes. More reporting. More insurance claims, as we own more property and build on flood plains. Stochastic variation in extreme weather events. But no overall trend. Good stuff on this at GWPF.

  4. Ex-expat Colin says:

    Certainly females in the EU are now 2nd class citizens if not more so. Thanks to the weakness of the authorities therein! There must be some seriously angry males in the cities and it gets to a place where police are not any use. Weak in the wars and weak again now!

    I’d say a plan should be constructed and efforts made to facilitate Brexit because an awful lot of work has to be done. For instance the financial centre in that awful place called London. I can well imagine the EU centre wanting to knock that over, and I think it was hinted at during a Select Committee not so long ago. I know there as a length of feed out, but relying on whats in Govt now is not helpful. Anyway, I think it will be IN, so the alternate plan of ignoring the EU might be adopted. Blocking it has failed as we know….too many VI’s.

    • Jane Davies says:

      The backlash has started, German men attacking the police in the streets in protest at their inability (or reluctance?) to protect the women and apprehend the perpetrators on new years eve. We foresaw this happening when idiot Merkel allowed those young single men to invade the country, we could see these were not genuine refugees escaping war, if we could see this then why were the politicians so blind? Expect more riots in the coming weeks, people have at last had enough of being ‘ruled’ by idiots who do not have any intention of being the public servants they are elected to be, the tail has been wagging the dog for far too long.

  5. Christopher Browne says:

    Agreed about Booker being the only one to report on the EU, it was because of him that I left the Tories and joined UKIP in 1994.

    As for the “second” referendum, I doubt if it will happen, the traitors and their friends in Europe will probably put through legislation using the Lisbon treaty, a self amending treaty, or some other device.

  6. davidbuckingham says:

    1. Surprised there isn’t more use of the concept of Great [Global] Britain – vs Little [non-EU] Britain.

    2. Danger of the two-tier proposal could be if we were offered full membership of the inner Eurocircle, having already voted to stay in…

  7. B Hough says:

    Has any research been done with regard to the advent of windfarms both offshore and on hillsides and the changes in local weather conditions? Of course blamed on `climate change`.
    Is there also some kind of conspiracy with local government in not dredging our rivers which along with the weather changes causes flooding? Of course blamed on `climate change`
    Whenever I read a headline of unusual weather conditions in some part of the world I check on the pesence of wind turbines, and there they are!
    Once the earth is covered with these monstrosities what effect will they have on the earths weather and rotation? I am not clued up on these things, that is why I am asking.
    All I know is that someone is making a fortune in their manufacture!

    • Ex-expat Colin says:

      Monbiot was on BBC R4 Today this am. He says dredging is no good and from the hills to the obstacles (towns etc) way down the rivers we need water storage/parking areas and bogs/leaky dams. Even flood plains – well?. The BBC then put up another guy who countered most of that and said its not that simple. Shocking stuff!

      If the Atlantic is to be dumped on us periodically it won’t always be showery or a short heavy hit. No model(s) or probability number will get a crystal ball to be accurate. Getting obstacles out of the way and a good safe flow through will help massively. Needs application of old drain theory I think. The wide and deep version.

  8. lasancmt says:

    “We shall prosper, quite simply, by being independent. We shall prosper by being free of the EU’s Common External Tariff, and stultifying regulation” nice words but not a shred of evidence is offered. It will take more than ukip bluster words to get Britain’s economy balanced again. The latest ONS pink book tells us: ” UK has been recording a current account deficit every year since 1994.” And it’s not just with the EU trade deficits are recorded. Of the countries that matter in size, only with the UK and Saudi Arabia manages to record a trade surplus. Digging down for the reasons of this anomaly one comes to the conclusion that this trade success depend on two commodities: Arms for oil. Is that our future outside of the EU? Become a pariah arms dealer?

  9. lasancmt says:

    sorry that should read US and Saudi Arabia

  10. Anyoldiron says:

    Voices From the Past.

    What have you done to my Country?
    That I gave my life fighting for?
    Did you cherish the freedom I left you?
    Or did you lose it forever more?
    I died protecting these precious Isles,
    From that great dictator of old,
    So that HE would never rule over us,
    Nor remove our reserves of gold.

    You lay your wreaths at the Cenotaph,
    Wear the poppy upon your lapel,
    Yet those that made the supreme sacrifice
    Are not here their tales to tell.
    Stand up straight as you stand at the Cenotaph,
    As the brave march past, heads bent low,
    T’was not they that betrayed our memory,
    Who it was in your heart, you well know.

    For those in whom WE placed our trust,
    Such treachery by them has been shown,
    On the people once more the burden will fall,
    Till the new battle for freedom, be won.

  11. Anyoldiron says:

    Does Peace depend on loss of freedom?

    Why did they fight for us
    In that war of World War Two?
    They went to fight for freedom,
    For “me” as well as YOU.
    Why did they all fight for us
    Way back in World War One?
    They too gave their all for freedom.
    That was when it all began.

    Old soldiers march so proudly
    To lay their poppy wreaths,
    Many lost their best of friends
    And for them they silently grieve.
    But now I feel deep, deep anger,
    Did they all of them die for nought?
    Wasn’t two World Wars about freedom?
    Surely that was why they fought?

    Never to be ruled by foreigners
    T’was taught at our Grandparents knee,
    Now watching those grandly old gentlemen
    Stumbling slowly, past the Cenotaph, FREE.
    YET where now is that precious “freedom”
    When obeying stranger’s laws?
    Laws decided now by foreigners,
    From inside a “Union” full of flaws.

    We stand and bow each November
    At the Cenotaph in London town,
    In memory of those that “fell” for us
    Not one of those let US down.
    Yet those that tossed away our freedom
    Into strangers welcoming hands,
    Gave not a care for those that died,
    Fighting for freedom in foreign lands.

    But just how robust is that “peace”
    When threats of war are made?
    If things do not “go” the German way
    Can freedom and peace be saved?
    But what kind of PEACE is it,
    When threats of war are made?
    If the Germans do not get what they want
    Can peace in our time be saved?

  12. Anyoldiron says:

    We will NEVER forget. 11.11. 2015

    So many gave their lives for us
    Fighting in two World Wars,
    Yet when “Peace” came at last
    We ask, “What was that war for”?
    Where is that peace we fought for?
    Did we pay to give it away
    To foreigners once more to govern us?
    Did the people ever have a say?

    We were asked once in 1975
    To remain in the then EEC,
    But what is it now in 2016
    It is nothing like we thought it would be.
    Our Common Law Constitution
    Ignored and deliberately cast aside,
    A new Flag and EU Anthem
    That no Brits can truly abide.

    Yet according to our Constitution,
    We must be free to govern our selves?
    To betray those that gave their lives for us
    Would be like living in a permanent Hell!
    We are forbidden to obey foreigners
    Our Constitution makes that quite clear,
    It is time for us to set ourselves FREE.
    By the REFERENDUM Governments fear.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s