Daily Debrief May 22nd

32 days to Independence Day

“EU Trade Wars costing Britain billions”

The Remain Camp makes much of the trade opportunities offered by “the EU’s negotiating clout”.  But a leaked memo, reports the Telegraph, shows that Britain is losing £2½ billion a year in trade because internal squabbles in the EU are delaying trade deals.  The problem is that France, and some other countries, are seeking to protect industry sectors, and especially agriculture, and are therefore blocking the EU/Mercosur deal with South America and possibly other deals too.

This is confirmation of the point I have made repeatedly: the EU is fundamentally protectionist.  Far from giving us “extra clout” in trade negotiations, it stands in our way.  On the EU side, we have to resolve endless conflicts between the interests and aspirations of 28 disparate member-states before we can even sit down with potential trade partners and start negotiating.  After Brexit, we will be free to pursue relations with China, India, the USA, South America in a single-minded way that serve the interests of Britain, not Brussels.

Boris’s “Hitler” row rumbles on

Arch-Europhile Michael Heseltine, the bane of Margaret Thatcher, is still causing trouble, with his deliberate misinterpretation of Boris’s remarks, and his synthetic indignation and hyperbole.  Let’s say it again: Boris is an amateur historian.  Indeed he’s semi-professional, having written books on the subject.  He was looking at the broad sweep of European history over 2000 years, from Roman times, and he remarked, quite rightly, that there have been repeated attempts to unify Europe over that period, and those attempts include Napoleon, Hitler and the EU.  He did not say that “the EU is like the Nazis” (though some might argue that both were engines of German dominance).  He did not say that Brussels is planning gas chambers for minorities.  His remarks were perfectly sober and reasonable, and as for Heseltine, let’s quote Clement Atlee: “A period of silence on your part would be appreciated”.

The exchange rate threat: Remain is flogging it to death

The Remain campaign makes the very questionable assumption that Brexit will result in the pound falling dramatically – and keeps highlighting particular problems that would arise in consequence.  It crops up again and again in different guises.   I have argued elsewhere that given the existential problems of the €uro, and the poor economic performance of the Eurozone, the Pound Sterling looks to me a much better bet in the medium term.  We accept that there may be some temporary volatility (largely driven by the Remain Campaign’s scare-mongering), but when the markets realise that trade is continuing, that the sky hasn’t fallen, and that an independent Britain is vigorously pursuing new trade deals, I’m betting that the pound will appreciate.

On the other hand a lower pound is by no means all bad news.  After all, Central Banks around the world are playing a competitive devaluation game, hoping for a trade advantage.  A lower pound would help our exporters.  It would favour British goods over imports and help our chronic balance-of-payments deficit.

Major retailers warn of higher prices: Four leading retailers, M&S, Tesco, Sainsbury’s and B&Q warn of higher prices in the shops – based on the assumption that the Pound will fall.   They have perhaps forgotten that there will be an immediate saving on imported food – we will no longer have to fork out for the EU’s Common External Tariff.  We will have much more freedom to source food imports.  Worth noting also that another major retailer, Simon Wolfson of Next, takes the opposite view: “Business will be better outside Europe”.

Cameron warns of higher prices:  Exactly the same point, dressed up differently.  Cameron too is failing to admit the benefit of leaving behind the Common External Tariff.

And the silly season prediction: Thisismoney  headlines “A threat to John Lewis Partnership bonuses”.  There is of course no special Brexit threat to John Lewis.  It’s merely the “lower Pound and general economic effect” argument in yet another guise.  If you imagine the economy will suffer after Brexit, then most people will feel the pinch.  If you expect growth to be faster, most people will benefit.

The Express has proof of an EU Army

But of course we no longer need proof, because Brussels’ plans for an EU Army are pretty much public.  Germany and the Commission have spoken.   Nonetheless, the Express reports (with photos) on an exercise on Salisbury Plain that looks very much like a European Army in the making.  Let’s not pretend it isn’t happening (this means you, Nick Clegg.

12 million Turks want to come to Britain

Under the EU/Turkey migrant deal, Turks could get visa-free access to the Schengen zone within a few weeks.  OK, so we’re not in Schengen, but don’t imagine for a moment we’ll be immune – they’ll find a way across.  Now an exclusive poll for the Express, conducted in Turkey over all 27 provinces, shows that given the opportunity, twelve million Turks would consider coming to Britain. Remember that Cameron tells us to forget Turkey on June 23rd – Turkish accession is just too far away.  But Brussels has agreed to accelerate Turkish accession, and Cameron has declared himself the strongest advocate for Turkish accession.  In the EU, the second stage of bad news is “OK there’s been talk about it, but it won’t happen any time soon”.  The third stage is “Sorry guys. It’s a done deal.  Nothing you can do about it now”.

A quarter of UK students say UKIP should be banned from campuses

Remember when freedom of speech and thought and debate were fundamental to higher education?  No longer, it seems.  We’ve heard too much about “safe spaces” where the poor little darlings can be protected from anything that might offend, where even a hand-gesture may be grounds for expulsion.  Now the Express reports a poll showing that 25% of students believe that UKIP should be banned from campuses. I’m happy and proud to say that I’ve been able to speak at many universities, and to explain in a measured way that UKIP is about common sense policies that matter to voters up and down the country.

Give a dog a bad name – and hang it

The BBC (and other media) report that Austria may be about to elect a far-right President, Norbert Hofer of The Freedom Party.  The liberal/leftist media love to hang that “far-right” tag on parties they disapprove of.  The Austrian Freedom Party was indeed a bit beyond the pale in its early days under Jorg Haider  but it has cleaned up its act, and in my experience its MEPs in Brussels are serious, sensible and responsible people.

Like the Swedish Democrats, and the German AfD Party, the Freedom Party is reflecting genuine public concern about immigration. They all receive the “Far Right” tag from the media. They don’t deserve it.  Good luck to Norbert Hofer.  As his opponent in the run-off is a Green, I’m hoping Norbert wins.



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15 Responses to Daily Debrief May 22nd

  1. The left wing media always confuse those who wish to curb immigration as being ‘right wing’.

    I would suggest that ‘right wing’ politicians are those who prefer free markets and a small state. Virtually all right wingers that I know of think immigration is a perfectly good thing, including Dan Hannan, Nigel Farage and John Redwood (the amount of immigrants and the fact that we have a very limited say in the type of immigrant, is the current problem, not the principle).

    There are plenty on the left of politics who want to curb immigration.

    It seems to me that the BBC reserves the phrase ‘right wing’ or ‘far right’ for those organisations it doesn’t like. This is lazy and of course it is bias.

    If the BBC insists on using these labels, why does it not refer to Norbert Hofer’s rival, the Green Party member, Alexander Van der Bellen, has being on the ‘far left’?

    • John S Churchill Jnr says:

      I maintain that any body should be referred to in the media as it describes itself. IPSO should insist!

      Otherwise, I agree with you.

  2. MIKE MAUNDER says:

    Unless there has been a hushed up change, the BRITISH Army, ROYAL Navy and ROYAL Air Force, owe allegiance to the Crown. By what chicanery does Westminster or Brussels intend to change that ? This would be a change too far, even for the E.U., and in the present circumstances, this would, by Treasonable action, be within the hands of our Government, and we seem to have the right people in power to make this possible ! There has only been one Prime Minister, a Mr. Percival, shot in the Palace of Westminster, and our present P.M. should work towards keeping the count to just one. The idea that Germany would take on direction of our Armed Forces and other European Forces, is just pure Disney !

    • rfhmep says:

      Don’t worry, Mike. They’ll find a form of words. Maybe “temporary secondment”. Maybe “Joint Task Force”. But the end result will be members of the British Armed Forces commanded by German (and other continental) officers.

    • John S Churchill Jnr says:

      This is why HMQ should formally declare for Brexit!

  3. Ex-expat Colin says:

    “Britain has deported 6,500 criminals in past five years – all thanks to the EU”


    Feeling better now…yeah right!

  4. MIKE MAUNDER says:

    Yesterday, over the garden gate, I had an interesting chat with a guy who was going to vote to stay with the E.U. – This was sparked by my 8’x 4′ placard for VOTE LEAVE in my front garden. He was emphatic that leaving the E.U. would devalue the pound and make it impossible for us to trade. I gave him the other view, but enquired if he was content to give away his Birth Right of being British, in the hope, and hope is all it is, that a glorious Super State would provide riches to him and his family ? He said he was a fork-lift operator, which is semi-skilled, and I asked how many E.U. guys he worked with ? He told me that about half the workforce was European, and it emerged that he was on the same wage now as 2010. I told him not to be surprised if his wages were the same in 2020, after all his E.U. mates will not back him in any action for a wage rise, as their minds are back home with knowledge of their pay rate. Pleased to say he went away with a modified view of things !

  5. Alan Wheatley says:

    The repost to the “far-right” tag is:-

    ‘My sensible views only seem to you to be far away to the right because your viewpoint is from so far away to the left.’

  6. Shieldsman says:

    “Britain has deported 6,500 criminals in past five years – all thanks to the EU”
    Oh I see it was Alan Johnson saying without the European Arrest Warrant they would still be on the loose. I thought Interpol existed before the EU, and even with the Arrest Warrant a will to implement it is needed
    I’ll bet Alan Johnson does not read the comments – Our prisons are full of EU criminals. What about the one who could not be sent back to Austria because an EU judge said that he would be treated badly.
    How many of the 6,500 would have been here in the first place if we had FULL control of our borders.

    Which is a question the likes of Alan Johnson cannot answer.

    I liked Simon Heffer’s article today – David Cameron’s disgraceful dishonesty over the EU is turning Britain into a banana republic. ‘He believed there was some truth in a story, going around Westminster, that the Prime Minister would create 25 peerages for those “supportive” in the referendum campaign. Certainly some of the recent ennoblements have seemed like barrel scrapings, pitching into the Upper House for reasons of tokenism people who, a generation ago, would have been lucky to get a job cleaning the place’
    Doling out peerages to nonentities because they agree with you is bad enough. But what about the perception that Mr Cameron is doing favours to captains of industry in return for vocally supporting his cry to remain in the EU – even by urging shareholders to vote “remain” in company annual reports? .

    So who roped in the ex-Retail Bosses for the Mails line up, was it Cameron or could it have been Rose? Rose!! not enough clout, but another ex M&S man could be after a peerage.

    I had a thought the other day, having got a knighthood for serving Cameron so well, how much is Lynton Crosby is being paid to manipulate the referendum with his writing on the polls.

    EU Army, not much point in having a combined Headquarters without Units to Command.

    • rfhmep says:

      The European Arrest Warrant is pernicious. Yes, it helps to expedite the extradition of criminals. But it means that any British citizen — and that includes you and me — can be arrested on the whim of a Bulgarian magistrate and sent to a foreign jail with no habeus corpus, no presumption of innocence, no end in sight, and in some cases no knowledge of the charges. Believe me — it’s happened to constituents I’ve tried to help. Careers and marriages destroyed for innocent people, or those who’ve committed trivial offences.

      • John S Churchill Jnr says:

        Roger, you are on a platform in Stroud soon. Care to communicate to co-ordinate “questions from the floor”? I joined UKIP after I had been to Newark to help in your by-election campaign. We have met.

        For a start, I want to ask Carmichael how he reconciles the preservation of the UK as a Nation State (which I have heard him state) with membership of ever closer union EU intending to do away with such ‘evil’ institutions.

  7. John S Churchill Jnr says:

    Have you noticed that when ever there is mention of anything political about foreigners “the left” unthinkingly (kneejerk reaction) cry racist of fascist. Surely that is the definition of being a bigot? It’s time we pointed this out every time it happens. And those who argue the the UK can’t stand alone (not that we are) are Belittling Englanders! Time to reverse the PC attitude.

    Actually, the EU itself has many attributes of fascism (Corporate State). Younger activists may not know that Sir Oswald Moseley’s British Union of Fascists called for Britain to join the ‘Common Market’ and campaigned on the YES side in the 1975 Referendum. Remain need to explain why!

    • MIKE MAUNDER says:

      Thanks John. I had totally forgotten about Moseley’s Fascists back in 1975, and their support for membership of the Common Market. As a young man, saying goodby to his 20s, I found anything Fascist to be something of a sick joke; – Why would anyone, and especially a British person, want to be in any way associated with a Hitlerite view ? This nudge to memory will be used to good effect in the next month ! – THANKS.

  8. MIKE MAUNDER says:

    A BIT OF NONSENSE : Back in the 1960s I did a fair bit of European travel, and found myself in a little town in Austria. Streets were blanked off for a sort of festival, with Ompah Band and lots of guys in little leather shorts with shaving brushes in their hats. I got bored quickly and popped into a cafe for a coffee, and had a problem ordering it. A loud voice behind me asked if I spoke German, Italian, French or Spanish, and in each of those languages;- ( I thought if he asks me about Welsh, I will be very impressed ). Ah, English;- Only the English don’t bother to learn other languages. – I told him that we don’y have to, as we win all the wars ! It was fun watching this fat, middle aged German, turning red, almost blowing steam out of his ears. How was I to know that the ‘ Festival ‘ was to mark the birthday of Hitler ?

  9. foxbarn says:

    is it 32 days or just *FIVE???* – the postal vote will be critical.

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