Daily Debrief June 7th

Only 16 days until Independence Day!

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Tory wars drag on

Yesterday our Conservative Prime Minister saw fit to share a platform with Harriet Harman, and the leaders of the Lib Dems and the Green party, to attack Boris Johnson and the Leave Campaign.  Not a very edifying sight – a Tory Prime Minister attacking senior Party colleagues.  But perhaps not quite so bizarre as to see Sir John Major dragged out of retirement – like a zombie rising from the grave – to appear on the Andrew Marr show to shower Boris with gratuitous insults – “The Court Jester….deceitful …squalid”.  Clearly Adams the cartoonist saw the zombie connexion as well.

“An economic con trick”: The Prime Minister accuses Boris, and the Leave Campaign, of “perpetrating an economic con trick” on the British people.  But hang on a minute, Dave.  It isn’t a con trick to question your exaggerated worst-case assumptions.  It isn’t a con trick to challenge the same phalanx of “experts” who in the late nineties were telling us that disaster would ensue if we failed to join the €uro.  And in any case, the real economic con trick is the EU itself.  It’s a job destruction machine.

“An extra £2.4 billion”: Meantime Boris pointed to an additional £2.4 billion which we could have to send to Brussels if we remain.  The Remain Camp assures us that we have opt-outs which will defend us from this extra impost – but bitter experience shows that Brussels funds a way of imposing costs, come what may.

Three new polls show a lead for Leave

Three recent polls show Leave ahead.  This appears to be a response to the ^poor performance of David Cameron in his recent Sky TV interview.  It also suggests that the increasingly blood-curdling warnings of the Remain Camp are simply not credible.

The Pound wobbles: The BBC reports “Pound falls as polls indicate more support for Brexit”. The report leaps on a relatively small move in Sterling, much of which was soon recovered.  Of course we expect some volatility in the markets as they assess the impact of Brexit.  The Indy also carries the story.  But a huge weight of responsibility rests on the shoulders of David Cameron and the Remain campaign.  They have predicted a massive economic shock: the danger is that such irresponsible predictions can become self-fulfilling.

Business opinion shifts towards Brexit: Szu Ping Chan in the Telegraph reports that while most business opinion still favours Remain, there has been a significant shift towards Brexit.  A survey of 350 FTSE Board Members in December showed 70% rated Brexit “potentially damaging”.  That figure was down to 43% last month.

Could Westminster scupper a Brexit poll win?

The Times and the Express carry reports that pro-EU MPs could block Brexit by opposing all the enabling measures which would have to accompany our renegotiation of trading relations with the EU.  I hope they think better of it: it would amount virtually to a declaration of civil war.  The people will not stand for it.

Immigration

Worries over illegal immigrants crossing the Channel continue.  British fishermen report that they are regularly offered 20 or 25 times an average day’s pay to bring migrants across the Channel to quiet south coast ports or beaches. One wrote to the Home Office – but got a boiler-plate letter in return assuring him that there was no problem.

Nigel cops some stick: Former Tory co-Chairman Sayeeda Warsi has written to the Guardian, along with Doreen Lawrence and Shami Chakrabarti, to attack Nigel Farage’s comments on migrants and sexual assaults like the one that took place in Cologne in New Year’s Eve. They demanded an apology, saying his remarks were “too close for comfort to the race-hate laws”.  But let’s think about the facts.  Young men are disproportionately represented amongst recent migrants.  Many of them come from countries and cultures where attitudes to women are, by Western standards, discriminatory and unacceptable.  Immigrants were credibly reported to be behind the attacks in Cologne, and similar attacks elsewhere in Germany.  Other attacks involving migrants have occurred for example in Sweden, where many migrants have arrived.  It is reported that the Swedish police, motivated by mis-placed political correctness, sought to play down the events and the involvement of migrants.

Of course no one suggests that all migrants, or most migrants, are involved in such offences.  But the fact remains that the attacks took place, and that they involved migrants.  This is a legitimate matter for public concern, and therefore for political comment.  To suggest that a politician mentioning these concerns should apologise, or still less that he should be threatened with race-hate laws, is preposterous.

Turkish attitudes to women: While on the subject of Islamic attitudes to women, it is worth noting that Turkish President Erdogan has recently said that women who fail to have children are “incomplete“.  He also reportedly said that contraception has no place in Islam, and that it is intended to put women on an equal  footing with men (as though that were self-evidently a bad thing).  Of course President Erdogan is entitled to his opinion.  But these are not the sort of attitudes which most of us would want to import wholesale into Europe.

A couple of articles worth reading

Boris writes a good piece, thoughtfully entitled “You must vote to Leave, or wake up with the worst hangover in history”.  Meantime Roger Bootle does an excellent analysis of why the establishment  scare stories have got it wrong: “Group-think and the true importance of imports”.  Both worth a read.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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11 Responses to Daily Debrief June 7th

  1. Shieldsman says:

    The Telegraph despite printing Lynton Crosby’s efforts to earn his bonus by skewing the polls, appears to be giving the leave campaign a better crack of the whip.

    Adams has another scathing cartoon today. Good satirical politcal cartoons could be decisive in showing that Cameron failed to change the EU. The over the top economics disaster forecast of Osborne completely ignores the real economic disaster of the eurozone happening now.
    The EU is not working, both Tusk and Juncker have said so, but the remainders and the BBC turn a blind eye to the events in the EU.

    • MIKE MAUNDER says:

      Cartoonist Adams hits the nail on the head, with perfection. Cameron is such a total failure, that he now enlists the help of the un-dead ! You don’t get more un-dead than Major. – Put him back to watching cricket, with a curry in his hands !

  2. David says:

    Re Nigels telling of attacks, & rapes in Europe, yes there are many, but the media, and some police & authorities are trying to hide, or downplay it, some folks just cant stand the truth of the matter, and we don’t want it increasing in UK, like Sweden, which I claimed to now be the Rape Capital according to reports Ive read

    • David says:

      should read Is claimed to be the rape capital.

    • Francesca Macfarlane says:

      Rape capital not just of the EU but of the World!
      Forty years after the Swedish parliament unanimously decided to change Sweden into a multicultural country, violent crime has increased by 300% and rapes by 1,472%. Sweden is now number two on the list of rape countries, surpassed only by Lesotho in Southern Africa. In an astounding number of cases, the Swedish courts have demonstrated sympathy for the rapists, and have acquitted suspects who have claimed that the girl wanted to have sex with six, seven or eight men. http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/519

  3. Shieldsman says:

    The pound wobbles, what are looking at? Is it the pound against the dollar, if so how is the euro doing against the dollar?
    I did manage to find a graph of the pound against the euro going back to 2012.
    It appeared to be at an all time high at the beginning of the year and is currently about the same as this time last year. From 2012 the pound made steady gains and is not going to crash to par as some doomsters predict.
    The eurozone is not in good health.

  4. colin kay says:

    Cameron shares a platform with Harman,greens and lib dems,just goes to show that it doesn`t really matter who you vote for(except Ukip of course)our political “elite!”shows that there is very little difference between them.P.S.sawmy first bus advertising Idepedance Day out on the 24th,made me smile,cheers and bring it on.

  5. MIKE MAUNDER says:

    MR. CAMERON : Edward Heath was a lying disgrace too, and now he is dead.
    May I suggest that you join him A,S,A,P,

  6. Ian Terry says:

    When Exit win if Westminster tries to overide the decision or take on a road only they want there will be riots on the street. These numpties deserve to put up against a wall as the sun rises.

  7. catweazle666 says:

    “Yesterday our Conservative Prime Minister saw fit to share a platform with Harriet Harman, and the leaders of the Lib Dems and the Green party”

    That will be the Harriet Harman who – while working as a solicitor for the NCCL – represented and supported the aims of the Paedophile Information Exchange and an associate of the vile Tom O’Carroll**?

    Time for a vote of no confidence, surely?

    ** Affiliation to the NCCL
    Whilst PIE was affiliated with it, the National Council for Civil Liberties (now Liberty) argued that photographs of undressed children should not be considered “indecent” – and therefore illegal – unless it could be proven that the subject had suffered harm or that an inference to that effect or to the effect that harm might have been caused could reasonably be drawn from the images themselves, with Harriet Harman (later deputy leader of the Labour Party) arguing that it would “increase censorship”.
    In May 1978, according to MagPIE, NCCL motions were passed supporting PIE’s rights and the annual meeting went on to condemn ‘attacks’ against paedophiles and their supporters, saying “this AGM condemns the physical and other attacks on those who have discussed or attempted to discuss paedophilia, and reaffirms the NCCL’s condemnation of harassment and unlawful attacks on such persons.” A spokesperson for Harman said: “PIE had been excluded from the NCCL before she became legal officer.” However, press cuttings from 1983 make it clear that it was still considered an “affiliate group”, according to The Daily Telegraph. In August 1983, a Scotland Yard report on the activities of PIE was being sent to the Director of Public Prosecutions, following the 1981 arrest of Tom O’Carroll.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paedophile_Information_Exchange

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