Post referendum Debrief July 26th

Express: “98% say NO to EU deal”

The Express headlines its own phone poll, concluding that 98% of respondents want the government to get on with implementing Brexit, rather than getting bogged down in interminable negotiations. It quotes John Redwood as saying that contrary to the attitude of the bureaucrats, we have a very strong negotiating position, and we should get on with the job.  The government and Theresa May seem to think that we can have meaningful negotiations with Brussels ahead of Article 50 – or perhaps even that we should have an agreed post-Brexit deal in place before we trigger Article 50.  That’s just not practical – EU leaders have ruled it out, and for once they’re right – and it’s a recipe for indefinite delay.

Time to bite the bullet, Theresa.

“May’s Brexit fudge”

Following the same theme, Rupert Myers in the Telegraph argues that our Prime Minister is becoming increasingly enigmatic about Brexit, and may even be starting to think about a second EU referendum after a few “concessions” from Brussels (for example, the proposed seven-year “emergency brake” on immigration).  Sometimes people ask me what UKIP is for, now that we’ve won the Brexit referendum.  But the opera is not over until the fat lady sings, and Brexit is not over until we are definitively out of the EU, with our own laws, our own borders, and no EU budget contributions.  We want a free trade deal, not the straitjacket of Single Market membership.

May to meet Irish Taoiseach Enda Kenny

The BBC reports that Theresa may will be meeting her Irish counterpart Enda Kenny, when discussion is likely to focus on Brexit, and on border issues.   As I remarked yesterday, the obvious solution to the border problem would be a UK/EU free trade deal, which is in everyone’s interests, and would obviate the need for customs posts at the Irish border.

Top scientist: No Evidence of “Brexit penalties” for science

Royal Society President Sir Venki Ramakrishnan yesterday said that there was no evidence that British scientists were being by-passed for grant funding as a result of Brexit, nor that it would be more difficult to attract foreign researchers to the UK, insisting that the quality of British research would guarantee its future.

During the campaign, British science, like British academia, was strongly pro-Remain.  Sir Venki says that this was understandable, since scientists, like business people, appreciate stability and may be worried by change. But despite the broad pro-Remain consensus in the scientific community, a number have broken cover to express contrary views.  Prof Nick Donaldson of University College London argues that Brexit will attract more medical research to the UK when we’re free of  restrictive EU regulation.  Sir Venki’s comments add weight to such views.

Germany: Terror attacks fuel anxiety on immigration and EU

Many papers, including the Washington Times , report that the recent spate of terror attacks in Germany, several carried out by immigrants who may have ISIL connections, has fuelled fears of immigration, adding to the widespread concerns already felt about the large-scale immigration which has recently taken place. Daniel Johnson in the Mail argues that public reaction to these attacks, coming as they do after a widely reported spate of sexual attacks on women perpetrated by immigrants, could represent an existential threat to the EU itself.

Angela Merkel faces a general election in 2017.  The current mood in Germany suggests that the anti-EU, anti-immigration party Alternative fuer Deutschland  could do well.


…But Juncker still backs free movement: Able as always to sense public opinion – and then ignore it – EU Commission President Jean Claude Juncker has gone out of his way to insist that the EU principle of free movement is “inviolable” (although with the creation of border controls across the Schengen area, it’s been thoroughly violated already).  Well done Jean Claude.  How many feet can you put in your mouth at the same time?

SAS ready to evacuate Brits from Turkey

The SAS is reportedly prepared to evacuate British citizens from Turkey in the event of a second coup attempt. Turkey is looking less and less like the ideal EU accession state.

Meantime the Mail reports (no big surprise here) that the turmoil in Turkey threatens the EU/Ankara migrant deal.  Who’d have thought it?

RyanAir “to shift focus to Europe”

Michael O’Leary is always amusing to listen to, committed EU remainer though he is.  Now he tells us that the airline is “shifting its focus to Europe”.  Of course this is predicated on his assumption that traffic levels will drop in the UK – and credit to him for putting his money where his mouth is (he seems to have rather a lot of both).  But what he’ll in fact find is that Brexit will have a positive influence on trade and investment in the UK.  And he’ll need to shift his focus back to the UK PDQ.

Syrian Refugees: “Scotland is depressing and full of old people waiting to die”

The Express reports on Syrian refugees who have been re-homed in the Isle of Bute, and seem less than happy with the location.  Wonderful as Scotland is, one wonders whether the Isle of Bute is the ideal place for foreigners from a very different culture to build a new life.  Perhaps I should reassure my Scottish readers that I personally have the highest regard for Scotland, having been born on Burns Night – and having also been responsible years ago for marketing Scotch whisky in several Asian countries.



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12 Responses to Post referendum Debrief July 26th

  1. Ex-expat Colin says:

    “Scotland is depressing and full of old people waiting to die”

    I thought that about a lot of the M. East…miserable and risky to boot!

    I think you are responsible for your own quality of life and state of mind…or should I expect somebody else to arrange all that? Its rather tough in reality. Thought I read they want to goto a community of their own background….lets say. So it would seem there is none of that “reach out” stuff from their, ummm… own?

    • vera says:

      When I first heard that rescued refugees from Syria were to be settled on the Isle of Bute, I thought it was hilarious. Did they do it to make the families want to return to Syria pdq?

  2. alexr64 says:

    An excellent round up as always Roger. As the BBC, The Times, the FT, the Guardian, all manner of other media forces and MOST of our MPs are trying very VERY hard to still push the ‘remain’ position, completely disregarding the referendum results, it is VITAL for UKIP to keep making the arguments loud and clear. All of what you say here needs to go neatly (in very few words and lots of pictures) in a mass distribution newspaper in the Autumn across the UK and there’s a way that it won’t cost a penny. Ask me.

  3. Great roundup. The battle to leave the dysfunctional, corrupt EU has only just begun but of course in time (not long now) it will fail, just like the Soviet Union did.

  4. mike5262015 says:

    As I have said, ” Will someone sign the Article 50, which is the majority view of the British people at our referendum vote ? ” After that is done, negotiations can go forward. Mrs. May will then be able to show what she’s made of. – Although I wish her well as our new P.M., I am not much impressed so far, as the slant is ‘ What will they offer ?’ – It should be, ‘ This is what we want, and we will be able to facilitate your trade with us !’ Of course, if Mrs. May was sensible, she would engage a professional, time served negotiator, and Nigel Farage is the obvious person, but I guess she has to put Party before Nation, even if she gets it wrong !

    • vera says:

      Yes I don’t understand the government position. The way I read it, we hold all the aces. We just leave and then wait to be approached by them. Their manufacturers and producers will ensure the wait will not be long. Whether we offer them anything at all is up to us.

      • rfhmep says:

        Indeed. Never mind us paying for “access to the Single Market”. Given the trade imbalance, they should pay for access to our market!

  5. Shieldsman says:

    I do recall that Michael O’Leary had the solution years ago to the South East Airports runway capacity shortage – let them all have another one provided they pay for it.
    SIR – I was interested to learn that Liam Fox, the new Trade Secretary, seeks an early decision in the runway debate.

    The commission’s learned members, experts in their respective fields, travelled the world looking at examples of where and how airport capacity had been increased, learning of the theory and practice of expansion, of both successful and no doubt less successful plans. They sought advice from experts in every related field, considered many possible locations, arrived at a shortlist, and they established the best solution.
    The commission spent three years and £20 million carrying out this task and it reported to the Government in June 2015. Its findings in favour of expanding Heathrow were “unanimous and unequivocal”.Those findings are supported, we are told, by the majority of our parliamentarians, by all of the regional airports bar one, by the airlines, by the CBI and by numerous other bodies.

    Yet we read that all this is up in the air, so to speak, that the decision may apparently be hugely influenced by a small number of politicians whose constituencies are close to the airport and who are now ministers.

    Would flying in the face of the commission’s findings not be putting self-interest first for that small number of individuals, and if so, how would that be building the “Better Britain” that our new Prime Minister promised us just a week ago?
    Gareth Hayton
    Dorking, Surrey

    RyanAir and EasyJet use the 7th freedom of the air the right to fly between two foreign countries while not offering flights to one’s own country, and was brokered by the OECD. The mission of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) is to promote policies that will improve the economic and social well-being of people around the world. It becomes a question of whether the EU Commission has incorporated into its membership rules.

    Aviation is very competitive, so there is no worry about a profitable route not being served.

    The simple solution, also backed by Labour Leave, would be to trigger article 50 by repealing the 1972 European Communities Act and then informing the EU that the UK is no longer a member but intends to trade tariff free.
    Why doesn’t the Labour Leave group put forward a candidate for the Leadership, the result could be quite surprising.

  6. Jane Davies says:

    Regarding the refugees relocated to the Isle of Bute this was posted on a friends facebook page…….

    “So this is doing the rounds on the Isle of Bute and creating some heat. I hope people from my Island share my post, but only to help this family who have been shamefully abused and manipulated by the conservative right wing horror that is The Daily Mail. A journalist came to the Island basically and wrote this article based on information received from a local refugee with very limited English skills. It is clear to me what has been lost in translation. This family miss their home and the life they once lived before the war. The father in the article observes Rothesay is where people go to die, what he probably meant is Rothesay is where old people go to retire but this was leaped on by a nasty journalist to pen something the man didn’t mean to imply and given he probably saw houses bombed and innocent children slain on Syrian streets it’s fairly unlikely he said something like this. He also says the Island is beautiful, but it is not his home and it’s okay for him to say that because it’s not. If his family have been humbled by charity and he feels embarrassed then this is a human response and I would feel the same if my independence was taken from me and I could not provide for my family and had to rely on other people. He once owned a shop, was a man of property, this family has lost a great deal. Of course they are allowed to grieve that, but the deliberate misinterpretation of that grief by the DM is designed to incite hatred by making the family appear ungrateful and don’t doubt it. It is a shocking abuse of power and could lead to violence and I think we can agree this family have been through enough. People in Rothesay have been very supportive of the refugees and I really hope the good people of Bute will extend that generosity by seeing this trash for the manipulative right wing rhetoric it is. Don’t let the Daily Mail infiltrate our pure waters by bringing hate to our wee Island, encouraging people to bully and harm this family or any family who are going through so much already adjusting to the new world they occupy. As you can see the family have been photographed, despite idiot journalist not naming family for apparent concern for their safety, so if you are from Rothesay be kind and show your real hospitality by preventing ignorant bullies from having their way. Take care of our Syrian friends. I know most people on Island appalled by this article, but also aware there will be those minorities who will use it as an excuse to vomit nasty politics which could be harmful to our community.”

  7. Pingback: Post-Referendum Debrief August 1st | Roger Helmer MEP

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